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Posted 1/7/2012 1:58:43 PM # -
Just a month ago, the Detroit Lions and New Orleans Saints did battle on Sunday Night Football. After that night, it appeared the teams were headed in two opposite directions. The Saints were poising themselves for another division championship, while the Lions were reeling in the wild card standings after their second straight loss. Now, after finishing strong themselves, the Lions head back to New Orleans to open post season play. The team is currently in the midst of a seven game road losing streak in the playoffs, and is trying to win in order to avert making more of the wrong kind of history. Should the Lions lose, they would tie an NFL record for the longest playoff losing streak.
What are the five most important things to watch during Saturday’s second wild card game? Here’s what to look out for:
How big of an impact will Ndamukong Suh have? On December 4, Suh, the Lions’ star pass rusher, was absent from the Superdome while serving his two game suspension. The rallying cry this week has been how big of an impact this made on the Lions losing the game. What will Suh do to justify that idea? His presence will bring back the double team, allowing the other skilled defensive linemen to perhaps get free to generate more pressure. Also, Gunther Cunningham’s game plan to pressure Drew Brees may open up, given Suh’s ability to switch positions and rush the passer in a variety of ways. His inclusion in the lineup never hurts, and Suh should be motivated to to prove his absence was the reason the Lions lost the first meeting.
Did the Lions learn any discipline from last time?
11 penalties for 107 yards. If you had forgotten the Lions’ penalty totals from their last meeting in New Orleans, there is your refresher. During that game, it seemed as if the Saints knew exactly what buttons to push in order to get the Lions to implode on themselves. Since that game, the Lions have done a good job eliminating personal foul penalties and after the whistle nonsense. Will that be the case the second time around? Some teams have discovered how to talk the Lions into taking penalties, and that looked to be the case in New Orleans. This time, the Lions must walk away from everything with no exceptions. The veteran Saints may try and test the young Lions’ focus, and they must prove they have grown up.
Who will step up opposite Calvin Johnson? Many will argue that For the Lions to advance, Calvin Johnson must evolve into “Megatron” once more. While that certainly wouldn’t hurt, the Saints and their defensive coordinator Gregg Williams will almost certainly have a plan to make things tough for the Lions’ best player. Thus, for the Lions to win, someone completely different is going to have to break the game on Saturday night. Nate Burleson? Titus Young? Kevin Smith? Those names certainly qualify. The name to really watch out for, however, may be Brandon Pettigrew, the Lions’ tight end. Last time around, Pettigrew had a terrible game, dropping passes while committing one of the bevy of personal fouls that went against his team. Bet on Pettigrew to be motivated and try to make amends for his first game in New Orleans. If the Lions’ tight ends get going in addition to everyone else, the Saints’ defense will have a hard time coming up with stops.
What team will win the turnover battle? In playoff games, everything becomes magnified and every possession means the world. Pressure mounts for even the most flawless of offenses, causing even the best quarterbacks to misfire. That is why turnovers will be important in this game. If the Lions are able to force a few on Drew Brees, it could help give them enough confidence to steal a win. Conversely, if Matthew Stafford is less than his best, the Saints could turn what experts believe may be a close game into a blowout. The Lions, adept all year at forcing turnovers, must come out on top in turnover margin if the team is to win in a rough environment. Matthew Stafford and the Lions’ offense must also avoid the critical mistakes that often paralyze road teams in the playoffs. Whichever team has the lower number of turnovers next to their name in the box score will likely be advancing.
Third down. In the first meeting, the Lions were 2-11 and the Saints 6-12 on third down. That might seem irrelevant, but the four play difference either way could have aided the Lions in coming back late. All year long, the Saints have been executing on third down, and they are the best team in the NFL at doing so, converting a gaudy 56% of their attempts. Ironically, The Lions are one of the best teams in the league at stopping opponents on third down defense, doing so 32% of the time which is good for a virtual dead heat with New Orleans. Clearly, third down will be the most important play to watch during this game given these statistics. The team that stops the other and converts more on third down is usually in great shape to win any football game, but in this tilt, that might just be the biggest deciding factor.
Posted 1/7/2012 2:15:23 PM # -
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